27 February 2011

83rd Academy Awards: The Winners

Since I'm also trying to win part of a hundred grand for out-guessing Roger Ebert, I'm including his predictions along with mine.  We share twelve predictions, which is half of the twenty four total categories.  The King's Speech makes up the lion's share of our differences.  In my defense, I cast my predictions on 25 January when the nominations were announced; he made his predictions on 10 February by the time other awards were handed out and that film went on a rampage.  It had no awards momentum when I cast my predictions, and while I've had opportunity to revise them I figure that my initial predictions should stand.  They are, after all, the ones I submitted to Mubi in an effort to win some part of the $100,000 prize for out-guessing Mr. Ebert.

Actor in a Leading Role
Me: Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
Ebert: Colin Firth, The King's Speech
Winner: Colin Firth, The King's Speech

Actor in a Supporting Role
Me: Geoffrey Rush, The King's Speech
Ebert: Geoffrey Rush, The King's Speech
Winner: Christian Bale, The Fighter

Actress in a Leading Role
Me: Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Ebert: Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Winner: Natalie Portman, Black Swan

Actress in a Supporting Role
Me: Melissa Leo, The Fighter
Ebert: Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit
Winner: Melissa Leo, The Fighter
Animated Feature Film
Me: Toy Story 3, Lee Unkrich
Ebert: Toy Story 3, Lee Unkrich
Winner: Toy Story 3, Lee Unkrich

Art Direction
Me: Alice in Wonderland, Production Design: Robert Stromberg; Set Decoration: Karen O'Hara
Ebert: Alice in Wonderland, Production Design: Robert Stromberg; Set Decoration: Karen O'Hara
Winner: Alice in Wonderland, Production Design: Robert Stromberg; Set Decoration: Karen O'Hara

Cinematography
Me: True Grit, Roger Deakins
Ebert: True Grit, Roger Deakins
Winner: Inception, Wally Pfister

Costume Design
Me: Alice in Wonderland, Colleen Atwood
Ebert: Alice in Wonderland, Colleen Atwood
Winner: Alice in Wonderland, Colleen Atwood

Directing
Me: Black Swan, Darren Aronofsky
Ebert: The King's Speech, Tom Hooper
Winner: The King's Speech, Tom Hooper

Documentary (Feature)
Me: Exit Through the Gift Shop, Banksy and Jaimie D'Cruz
Ebert: Inside Job, Charles Ferguson and Audrey Marrs
Winner: Inside Job, Charles Ferguson and Audrey Marrs

Note: Ebert and I both agree that we think Restrepo should win this award.

Documentary (Short Subject)
Me: The Warriors of Qiugang, Ruby Yang and Thomas Lennon
Ebert: Killing in the Name, Jed Rothstein
Winner: Strangers No More, Karen Goodman and Kirk Simon

Film Editing
Me: 127 Hours, Jon Harris
Ebert: The Social Network, Angus Wall and Kirk Baxter
Winner: The Social Network, Angus Wall and Kirk Baxter

Foreign Language Film
Me: Biutiful, Mexico
Ebert: Incendies, Canada
Winner: In a Better World, Denmark

Makeup
Me: The Wolfman, Rick Baker and Dave Elsey
Ebert: Barney's Version, Adrien Morot
Winner: The Wolfman, Rick Baker and Dave Elsey

Music (Original Score)
Me: The Social Network, Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross
Ebert: The King's Speech, Alexandre Desplat
Winner: The Social Network, Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross

Music (Original Song)
Me: "Coming Home" from Country Strong, Music and Lyric by Tom Douglas, Troy Verges and Hillary Lindsey
Ebert: "We Belong Together" from Toy Story 3, Music and Lyric by Randy Newman
Winner: "We Belong Together" from Toy Story 3, Music and Lyric by Randy Newman

Note: Ebert said if he had a vote, he'd cast it for "Coming Home."

Best Picture
Me: Black Swan, Mike Medavoy, Brian Oliver and Scott Franklins, Producers
Ebert: The King's Speech, Iain Canning, Emile Sherman and Garth Unwin, Producers
Winner: The King's Speech, Iain Canning, Emile Sherman and Garth Unwin, Producers

Short Film (Animated)
Me: Day & Night, Teddy Newton
Ebert: Day & Night, Teddy Newton
Winner: The Lost Thing, Shaun Tan and Andrew Ruhemann

Short Film (Live Action)
Me: Na Wewe, Ivan Goldschmidt
Ebert: Na Wewe, Ivan Goldschmidt
Winner: God of Love, Luke Matheny

Sound Editing
Me: Inception, Richard King
Ebert: Inception, Richard King
Winner: Inception, Richard King

Sound Mixing
Me: Inception, Lora Hirschberg, Gary A. Rizzo and Ed Novick
Ebert: The Social Network, Ren Klyce, David Parker, Michael Semanick and Mark William Sarokin
Winner: Inception, Lora Hirschberg, Gary A. Rizzo and Ed Novick

Visual Effects
Me: Inception, Paul Franklin, Chris Courbald, Andrew Lockley and Peter Bebb
Ebert: Inception, Paul Franklin, Chris Courbald, Andrew Lockley and Peter Bebb
Winner: Inception, Paul Franklin, Chris Courbald, Andrew Lockley and Peter Bebb

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
Me: The Social Network, Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin
Ebert: The Social Network, Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin
Winner: The Social Network, Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin

Writing (Original Screenplay)
Me: The King's Speech, Screenplay by David Seidler
Ebert: The King's Speech, Screenplay by David Seidler
Winner: The King's Speech, Screenplay by David Seidler

Predictions
Me: 12/24
Ebert: 14/24
Winner:


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